Quiz › Advanced track quiz
Quiz · world 10
Advanced track quiz
150 questions with answers, from the advanced track lessons. Answer in your head, then open the answer.
1. What is a futures contract?
- An agreement to buy or sell later at a price agreed today
- A share of a company
- A savings account
- A type of candle
Show the answer
An agreement to buy or sell later at a price agreed today. The price is fixed now for a trade in the future. Lesson ›
2. How often are futures gains and losses settled?
- Once a year
- Only at expiry
- Every day
- Never
Show the answer
Every day. The clearing house marks positions to market daily. Lesson ›
3. What is initial margin?
- The profit you will make
- A good-faith deposit to open the position
- A fee to the exchange
- The contract's full value
Show the answer
A good-faith deposit to open the position. It is a deposit, not the price of the contract. Lesson ›
4. Can you lose more than your margin deposit?
- No, never
- Only on Fridays
- Only in crypto
- Yes, losses can be bigger than it
Show the answer
Yes, losses can be bigger than it. A big move can wipe out the deposit and more. Lesson ›
5. You are long 1 gold future (100 ounces) at 2,000, and it settles at 1,990. What is the day's result?
- -100 dollars
- -1,000 dollars
- -10 dollars
- +1,000 dollars
Show the answer
-1,000 dollars. A 10-dollar fall times 100 ounces is 1,000. Lesson ›
6. The account falls to 8,500, maintenance is 9,000 and initial margin is 10,000. How much is the margin call?
- 1,500
- 500
- 8,500
- 10,000
Show the answer
1,500. The call tops the account back up to 10,000. Lesson ›
7. Gold moves in steps of 0.10 dollar on 100 ounces. What is one step worth?
- 1 dollar
- 100 dollars
- 0.10 dollar
- 10 dollars
Show the answer
10 dollars. 0.10 times 100 ounces is 10 dollars. Lesson ›
8. One E-mini S&P 500 future is worth 50 dollars per index point. What does a 20-point move against one contract cost?
- 20 dollars
- 70 dollars
- 1,000 dollars
- 2,500 dollars
Show the answer
1,000 dollars. 20 points times 50 dollars is 1,000. Lesson ›
9. Why can a physically delivered contract near expiry be risky for a trader?
- It cannot move
- Prices are frozen near expiry
- Cash settlement pays extra
- Holders may have to deliver or take delivery, and prices can swing wildly near the end
Show the answer
Holders may have to deliver or take delivery, and prices can swing wildly near the end. Traders who cannot take delivery rush to get out before the end. Lesson ›
10. Who marks futures positions to market each day?
- The trader
- The exchange's clearing house
- A news agency
- An AI assistant
Show the answer
The exchange's clearing house. The clearing house moves the money between accounts. Lesson ›
11. What is the spot price?
- Today's cash price for the asset
- A futures price for next year
- A trading fee
- A stop-loss level
Show the answer
Today's cash price for the asset. Spot means the price for buying it now. Lesson ›
12. What happens to the basis as expiry approaches?
- It grows forever
- It doubles
- It shrinks toward zero
- It stays fixed
Show the answer
It shrinks toward zero. At expiry, futures and spot meet. Lesson ›
13. Later contracts cost more than nearer ones. What is that called?
- Backwardation
- Contango
- Liquidation
- Settlement
Show the answer
Contango. Contango is an upward-sloping curve. Lesson ›
14. What does rolling a futures position mean?
- Closing it forever
- Adding leverage
- Changing the stop
- Closing the expiring contract and opening a later one
Show the answer
Closing the expiring contract and opening a later one. You swap into the next month to stay in the trade. Lesson ›
15. Spot is 70 and next month's future is 71.50. What is the basis, written as spot minus futures?
- +1.50
- 141.50
- -1.50
- 0
Show the answer
-1.50. 70 minus 71.50 is -1.50. Lesson ›
16. Later months priced below nearer months often signal what?
- Scarcity right now
- Too much supply
- No trading
- A holiday
Show the answer
Scarcity right now. People pay more to have it now. Lesson ›
17. A crude oil contract is 1,000 barrels. A roll cost of 1.50 dollars a barrel is how much per contract?
- 1.50 dollars
- 1,500 dollars
- 150 dollars
- 15,000 dollars
Show the answer
1,500 dollars. 1.50 times 1,000 barrels is 1,500. Lesson ›
18. Why can a rolled long position fall behind a flat spot price in contango?
- Each new contract is bought above spot and drifts down to it by expiry
- Spot prices always fall
- Exchanges charge a roll tax
- Futures never move
Show the answer
Each new contract is bought above spot and drifts down to it by expiry. You keep paying the premium and watching it melt. Lesson ›
19. Why does a continuous futures chart sometimes jump on a quiet day?
- A big news event always happened
- The exchange made a mistake
- Candles were deleted
- It switched from one contract to the next, and their prices differ
Show the answer
It switched from one contract to the next, and their prices differ. The stitch point shows up as a jump. Lesson ›
20. In April 2020, what did the expiring US crude oil contract settle at?
- Zero
- 70 dollars
- Minus 37.63 dollars a barrel
- 100 dollars
Show the answer
Minus 37.63 dollars a barrel. Near expiry, holders who could not take delivery of the oil rushed to sell. Lesson ›
21. What does a call option give its buyer?
- The duty to buy
- The right to buy at the strike price
- The right to sell
- A share of the company's profits
Show the answer
The right to buy at the strike price. A call is a right to buy, not a duty. Lesson ›
22. What is the premium?
- The price paid for the option
- The strike price
- The expiry date
- The company's profit
Show the answer
The price paid for the option. It is the price of the ticket. Lesson ›
23. A put option gives the right to do what?
- Buy
- Borrow
- Vote
- Sell
Show the answer
Sell. A put is the right to sell at the strike. Lesson ›
24. The stock is at 100 and a call's strike is 90. Is the call in, at or out of the money?
- Out of the money
- At the money
- In the money
- None of these
Show the answer
In the money. You could buy at 90 something worth 100. Lesson ›
25. The premium is 2.00 per share and a contract covers 100 shares. What does one contract cost?
- 2 dollars
- 20 dollars
- 200 dollars
- 2,000 dollars
Show the answer
200 dollars. 2.00 times 100 shares is 200. Lesson ›
26. The stock is at 100 and a put's strike is 95. Is the put in the money?
- No, it is out of the money
- Yes
- It is at the money
- Puts are never in the money
Show the answer
No, it is out of the money. Selling at 95 something worth 100 is not worth doing. Lesson ›
27. Call strike 105, the stock at 110 at expiry, and a premium of 2.00. What is the profit per share?
- 5.00
- 10.00
- 2.00
- 3.00
Show the answer
3.00. 5 of value minus 2 paid leaves 3. Lesson ›
28. What is the most an option buyer can lose?
- An unlimited amount
- The premium paid
- Twice the premium
- The strike price
Show the answer
The premium paid. The ticket can expire worthless, and that is the worst case. Lesson ›
29. When can a European-style option be exercised?
- Any day before expiry
- Only at expiry
- Never
- Only on Mondays
Show the answer
Only at expiry. European style means at expiry only. Lesson ›
30. Who takes on the obligation in an option trade?
- The seller, also called the writer
- The buyer
- The exchange
- Nobody
Show the answer
The seller, also called the writer. The seller must deliver if the buyer uses the right. Lesson ›
31. What does a payoff diagram show?
- Profit or loss at expiry for each final price
- Tomorrow's price
- The company's earnings
- Trading volume
Show the answer
Profit or loss at expiry for each final price. It maps every possible ending. Lesson ›
32. What is the most a call buyer can lose?
- An unlimited amount
- The strike price
- The premium paid
- Nothing
Show the answer
The premium paid. The ticket price is the worst case. Lesson ›
33. Call strike 100 and premium 4. What is the breakeven at expiry?
- 96
- 104
- 100
- 4
Show the answer
104. The stock must rise past the strike by the premium. Lesson ›
34. Put strike 100 and premium 3. What is the breakeven at expiry?
- 103
- 100
- 3
- 97
Show the answer
97. The stock must fall below the strike by the premium. Lesson ›
35. Call strike 100, premium 4, and the stock ends at 112. What is the buyer's profit per share?
- 12
- 4
- 8
- 16
Show the answer
8. 12 of value minus 4 paid is 8. Lesson ›
36. Put strike 100, premium 3, and the stock ends at 90. What is the buyer's profit per share?
- 7
- 10
- 3
- 13
Show the answer
7. 10 of value minus 3 paid is 7. Lesson ›
37. Who faces losses that are unlimited in theory?
- A call buyer
- A put buyer
- A shareholder
- A call seller
Show the answer
A call seller. A stock's rise has no ceiling. Lesson ›
38. Put strike 100 and premium 3. What is the put seller's maximum loss per share?
- 3
- 97
- 100
- Unlimited
Show the answer
97. If the stock hits 0, the seller loses 100 minus the 3 collected. Lesson ›
39. Why can 'selling options for steady income' be dangerous?
- Premiums are illegal
- Sellers can never profit
- Small steady gains can be wiped out by one big move against the seller
- It needs no margin
Show the answer
Small steady gains can be wiped out by one big move against the seller. Many small wins can vanish in one bad move. Lesson ›
40. A long call compared with owning the shares: what is the key difference on the downside?
- The call's loss is capped at the premium, while the shares can keep falling
- The call loses more
- There is no difference
- Shares cannot fall
Show the answer
The call's loss is capped at the premium, while the shares can keep falling. That cap is what the premium buys. Lesson ›
41. What does position sizing decide?
- Which market to trade
- How many units to trade so a stop-out loses only your planned amount
- When to exit
- The chart timeframe
Show the answer
How many units to trade so a stop-out loses only your planned amount. Size turns your risk budget into units. Lesson ›
42. For one share, what is the value per point?
- 1
- 10
- 50
- 100
Show the answer
1. A 1-point move in one share is 1 unit of money. Lesson ›
43. You risk 200 dollars with a 4-dollar stop on a stock. How many shares?
- 25
- 80
- 800
- 50
Show the answer
50. 200 divided by 4 is 50. Lesson ›
44. What should you do if one contract risks more than your limit?
- Round up anyway
- Skip the trade or use a smaller contract
- Remove the stop
- Double the stop distance
Show the answer
Skip the trade or use a smaller contract. Your limit comes first. Lesson ›
45. Risk 200 dollars, a 25-pip stop and 10 dollars per pip per standard lot. What size?
- 0.8 lots
- 8 lots
- 2 lots
- 0.08 lots
Show the answer
0.8 lots. 200 divided by 250 is 0.8. Lesson ›
46. Risk 200 dollars, a 20-point stop and 5 dollars per point on the Micro E-mini. How many contracts?
- 1
- 4
- 2
- 10
Show the answer
2. 200 divided by 100 is 2. Lesson ›
47. Your size works out to 2.7 contracts. What do you trade?
- 3
- 2
- 2.7
- 0
Show the answer
2. Round down so the risk limit holds. Lesson ›
48. The same trade on the E-mini at 50 dollars per point: a 20-point stop and 200 dollars of risk. What is the result?
- 2 contracts
- 1 contract
- 20 contracts
- 0.2 contracts, so the trade is skipped
Show the answer
0.2 contracts, so the trade is skipped. Even one contract would risk 1,000 dollars. Lesson ›
49. A Nikkei 225 mini future is worth 100 yen per point. With a 150-point stop and 30,000 yen of risk, how many contracts?
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 20
Show the answer
2. 150 times 100 is 15,000 yen per contract. Lesson ›
50. Why allow for slippage when you size a trade?
- It lowers costs
- Exchanges require it
- Fills can be worse than the stop price, so the real loss can be larger
- It makes the size bigger
Show the answer
Fills can be worse than the stop price, so the real loss can be larger. Gaps and fast markets can jump past your stop. Lesson ›
51. What does expectancy tell you?
- Your average result per trade over many trades
- Tomorrow's price
- Your win rate only
- The size of your account
Show the answer
Your average result per trade over many trades. It is the average value of one trade. Lesson ›
52. Which formula is expectancy?
- Win rate + loss rate
- Average win / average loss
- Win rate x average win - loss rate x average loss
- Number of trades x 2
Show the answer
Win rate x average win - loss rate x average loss. Wins weighted by how often, minus losses weighted by how often. Lesson ›
53. 40% wins at 2R and 60% losses at 1R. What is the expectancy?
- +0.8R
- +0.2R
- -0.2R
- +1.4R
Show the answer
+0.2R. 0.8R minus 0.6R is +0.2R. Lesson ›
54. Why is win rate alone misleading?
- It is always 50%
- It includes costs
- It shows the average win
- It ignores how big the wins and losses are
Show the answer
It ignores how big the wins and losses are. Size matters as much as frequency. Lesson ›
55. 70% wins at 0.3R and 30% losses at 1R. What is the expectancy?
- +0.21R
- -0.09R
- +0.09R
- -0.3R
Show the answer
-0.09R. 0.21R minus 0.3R is -0.09R. Lesson ›
56. Expectancy is +0.2R and costs are 0.1R per trade. What is left?
- +0.1R
- +0.3R
- -0.1R
- +0.2R
Show the answer
+0.1R. Costs come straight off the top. Lesson ›
57. What is the break-even win rate for a 3R reward and a 1R risk?
- 33%
- 50%
- 75%
- 25%
Show the answer
25%. 1 divided by (1 + 3) is 0.25. Lesson ›
58. Net +0.1R per trade over 100 trades. What is the expected total?
- +1R
- +100R
- +10R
- +0.1R
Show the answer
+10R. 100 times 0.1R is 10R. Lesson ›
59. You measured +0.5R per trade over 8 trades. What is the right view?
- It is a proven edge
- Too few trades, so the true figure could be far from +0.5R
- Double your size
- Stop tracking
Show the answer
Too few trades, so the true figure could be far from +0.5R. Eight trades are mostly luck. Lesson ›
60. 50% wins at 1R, 50% losses at 1R, and costs of 0.05R per trade. What is the net expectancy?
- 0R
- +0.05R
- -0.05R
- +0.5R
Show the answer
-0.05R. A zero edge minus costs is negative. Lesson ›
61. What is a manual backtest?
- Trading live with real money
- Testing a rule on old charts by hand
- Reading the news
- Asking a friend
Show the answer
Testing a rule on old charts by hand. You replay history and apply your rule. Lesson ›
62. In replay mode, what can you see?
- All the future candles
- Tomorrow's news
- Only candles up to the current one
- Other traders' orders
Show the answer
Only candles up to the current one. The future stays hidden, just like in real trading. Lesson ›
63. Which signals should you log?
- Every trigger that fits the rules
- Only winners
- Only the ones you like
- Only the last one
Show the answer
Every trigger that fits the rules. Every trigger counts, good or bad. Lesson ›
64. Why test across trending, ranging and crash periods?
- To make the test longer
- Exchanges require it
- Crashes always pay
- A rule tested in one kind of market can look better than it is
Show the answer
A rule tested in one kind of market can look better than it is. Markets change, so the test must too. Lesson ›
65. 16 wins at +1.8R and 24 losses at -1R. What is the total?
- +28.8R
- +4.8R
- -4.8R
- +8R
Show the answer
+4.8R. 28.8R minus 24R is +4.8R. Lesson ›
66. +4.8R over 40 trades. What is the expectancy per trade?
- +0.12R
- +0.48R
- +1.2R
- +4.8R
Show the answer
+0.12R. 4.8 divided by 40 is 0.12. Lesson ›
67. 16 wins out of 40 trades. What is the win rate?
- 16%
- 60%
- 24%
- 40%
Show the answer
40%. 16 out of 40 is 40%. Lesson ›
68. What does skipping 'ugly' signals do to the results?
- Makes them more accurate
- Lowers costs
- Makes them look better than reality
- Nothing
Show the answer
Makes them look better than reality. You removed losers that would really have happened. Lesson ›
69. How should you treat 40 backtested trades?
- As proof for life
- As a rough first picture to confirm on fresh data
- As meaningless
- As a reason to go all in
Show the answer
As a rough first picture to confirm on fresh data. It is a start, not a verdict. Lesson ›
70. Why hide future candles during a manual backtest?
- So hindsight can't influence which signals you take
- To save battery
- Because charts are too long
- To make the rule harder
Show the answer
So hindsight can't influence which signals you take. Knowing the ending changes your choices. Lesson ›
71. Which timeframe do you check first?
- The higher one, for direction and key levels
- The lowest one
- Whichever is green
- None
Show the answer
The higher one, for direction and key levels. Big map first, street map second. Lesson ›
72. What is the lower timeframe used for?
- Finding the long-term trend
- Choosing the market
- Timing the entry and placing the stop
- Reading the news
Show the answer
Timing the entry and placing the stop. It zooms in on the moment to step in. Lesson ›
73. Which pair fits the four-to-six rule of thumb?
- Weekly and 5-minute
- Weekly and daily
- Monthly and 1-minute
- Daily and 1-minute
Show the answer
Weekly and daily. A week holds about five trading days. Lesson ›
74. Daily uptrend, and an hourly bullish trigger at daily support. Do they agree?
- No
- Only on Fridays
- Can't tell
- Yes
Show the answer
Yes. Both point the same way at a key level. Lesson ›
75. Risk 400 dollars with a stop distance of 8. How many shares?
- 10
- 50
- 8
- 400
Show the answer
50. 400 divided by 8 is 50. Lesson ›
76. Risk 400 dollars with a stop distance of 40. How many shares?
- 10
- 50
- 4
- 40
Show the answer
10. 400 divided by 40 is 10. Lesson ›
77. Why does a tighter lower-timeframe stop need a new size calculation?
- It doesn't
- Tighter stops cost more fees
- The exchange asks for it
- The same risk with a smaller stop distance allows a bigger size
Show the answer
The same risk with a smaller stop distance allows a bigger size. Size depends on the stop distance. Lesson ›
78. Why is a daily and 4-hour pair awkward for many stocks?
- Stocks have no 4-hour charts
- A stock's trading day holds only about two 4-hour candles
- 4-hour charts are banned
- Daily charts don't exist for stocks
Show the answer
A stock's trading day holds only about two 4-hour candles. The spacing only works in round-the-clock markets. Lesson ›
79. Hourly setups look great, but the daily trend is down. What does this lesson's rule say?
- Trade the hourly setup long anyway
- Double the size
- Take only trades in the daily trend's direction, or wait
- Switch to the 1-minute chart
Show the answer
Take only trades in the daily trend's direction, or wait. The higher timeframe sets the direction. Lesson ›
80. Why stop adding timeframes once two agree?
- More charts mostly add conflict and delay
- More timeframes are banned
- Two is always enough to be right
- It lowers costs
Show the answer
More charts mostly add conflict and delay. Extra charts rarely add useful information. Lesson ›
81. What is an option's premium made of?
- Only intrinsic value
- Intrinsic value plus time value
- Only fees
- The strike plus the stock price
Show the answer
Intrinsic value plus time value. Real value now plus 'maybe' value. Lesson ›
82. What happens to time value as expiry approaches?
- It grows
- It stays the same
- It shrinks, fastest near the end
- It doubles
Show the answer
It shrinks, fastest near the end. The 'maybe' melts away. Lesson ›
83. At expiry, what is an option worth?
- Only its intrinsic value
- Its time value
- Double its premium
- Always nothing
Show the answer
Only its intrinsic value. No time is left, so no time value is left. Lesson ›
84. What is IV crush?
- A rise in the stock price
- A trading fee
- A type of stop
- A sharp drop in implied volatility, often right after an event
Show the answer
A sharp drop in implied volatility, often right after an event. Uncertainty ends, so the 'maybe' premium drops. Lesson ›
85. The stock is at 104, the call strike is 100 and the call costs 5.00. What is its time value?
- 4.00
- 5.00
- 1.00
- 9.00
Show the answer
1.00. 5.00 minus 4.00 of intrinsic value is 1.00. Lesson ›
86. Delta is 0.5 and the stock rises 4. Roughly how much does the option change, other things equal?
- +2.00
- +4.00
- +0.50
- +8.00
Show the answer
+2.00. 0.5 times 4 is 2. Lesson ›
87. Roughly what is an at-the-money call's delta?
- 0
- 1
- -1
- 0.5
Show the answer
0.5. At the money sits in the middle. Lesson ›
88. The stock rose 4 after results, yet the call fell from 6.00 to 5.00. What is the main reason?
- The stock went down
- Implied volatility fell and time passed, outweighing the move
- The strike changed
- Delta was zero
Show the answer
Implied volatility fell and time passed, outweighing the move. The IV crush took away more than the move added. Lesson ›
89. In SEBI's FY26 study, what share of individual options traders in India lost money?
- 12.3%
- 50%
- 87.7%
- 66.0%
Show the answer
87.7%. Nearly 9 in 10 lost money. Lesson ›
90. Why is holding out-of-the-money options into the final days risky?
- They gain value automatically
- Delta rises to 1 for every option
- Exchanges cancel them
- Time value decays fastest near expiry, and they may expire worthless
Show the answer
Time value decays fastest near expiry, and they may expire worthless. All of their price is melting time value. Lesson ›
91. What does the optimal-growth formula estimate?
- The fraction of capital to risk for the fastest long-run growth
- Tomorrow's price
- Your win rate
- The best market
Show the answer
The fraction of capital to risk for the fastest long-run growth. It is about bet size, not prediction. Lesson ›
92. With p = 0.5 and b = 2, what is f?
- 0.5
- 2
- 0.25
- 0.1
Show the answer
0.25. 0.5 minus 0.5 divided by 2 is 0.25. Lesson ›
93. What is half of a 25% optimal fraction?
- 50%
- 12.5%
- 25%
- 5%
Show the answer
12.5%. Half of 25 is 12.5. Lesson ›
94. Why do traders bet less than the formula says?
- It is more fun
- The formula is banned
- Smaller bets always win
- Their edge estimate might be wrong, and full size brings huge swings
Show the answer
Their edge estimate might be wrong, and full size brings huge swings. Less size means room for mistakes and smaller drops. Lesson ›
95. If the true p is 0.4 and b is 2, what is f?
- 0.25
- 0.1
- 0.4
- 0.2
Show the answer
0.1. 0.4 minus 0.6 divided by 2 is 0.1. Lesson ›
96. You think p is 0.5, but it is really 0.4. Betting 25% is how many times the true optimum?
- 2.5
- 1
- 4
- 10
Show the answer
2.5. 0.25 divided by 0.1 is 2.5. Lesson ›
97. Which fixed risk per trade is common in practice?
- 25% to 50%
- 10% to 20%
- 100%
- 0.5% to 2%
Show the answer
0.5% to 2%. Small fixed risk survives mistakes and bad streaks. Lesson ›
98. With p = 0.5 and b = 2, what long-run growth does betting 50%, twice the optimum, give?
- The fastest growth
- About zero
- Double the growth
- Growth with no losing trades
Show the answer
About zero. The big wins and big losses cancel out over time. Lesson ›
99. Why is a win rate from 20 trades a poor input for full-size optimal betting?
- 20 is an unlucky number
- The formula needs exactly 100 trades
- Win rates never change
- Small samples can overstate your edge a lot
Show the answer
Small samples can overstate your edge a lot. A lucky sample leads to oversized bets. Lesson ›
100. What do you gain by betting a quarter of the optimal fraction?
- More growth than full size
- A higher win rate
- Much smaller drawdowns, at the cost of some growth
- No losing trades
Show the answer
Much smaller drawdowns, at the cost of some growth. You trade some speed for a much smoother ride. Lesson ›
101. What is survivorship bias?
- Testing only on assets that still exist today
- Using stops
- Trading only after crashes
- A trading fee
Show the answer
Testing only on assets that still exist today. The failures quietly vanish from the test. Lesson ›
102. What is look-ahead bias?
- Testing too few trades
- Using information that was not available at the time
- Ignoring costs
- Using a weekly chart
Show the answer
Using information that was not available at the time. The test peeks at the future. Lesson ›
103. What is overfitting?
- Using too few rules
- Adding costs
- Tuning rules so tightly that they fit past noise
- Testing on new data
Show the answer
Tuning rules so tightly that they fit past noise. It memorizes the past instead of learning a real pattern. Lesson ›
104. Which trap hurts frequent trading the most?
- Survivorship bias
- Anchoring
- Weekly charts
- Ignoring costs and slippage
Show the answer
Ignoring costs and slippage. More trades means more costs. Lesson ›
105. +0.15R per trade before costs and 0.12R of costs. What is the edge after costs?
- +0.27R
- +0.03R
- -0.03R
- +0.12R
Show the answer
+0.03R. 0.15 minus 0.12 is 0.03. Lesson ›
106. 500 trades at +0.03R each. What is the total?
- +1.5R
- +150R
- +15R
- +0.03R
Show the answer
+15R. 500 times 0.03 is 15. Lesson ›
107. A report tunes 12 settings on one year of data. What is the main trap?
- Overfitting
- Survivorship
- Look-ahead
- Costs
Show the answer
Overfitting. Many knobs on little data fit noise. Lesson ›
108. Why does testing only today's index members flatter results?
- Today's members are cheaper
- Old data has no costs
- Index members never fall
- Companies that failed or were removed, often big losers, are left out
Show the answer
Companies that failed or were removed, often big losers, are left out. The worst performers were deleted before the test began. Lesson ›
109. Your backtest keeps disappointing and you keep adding rules. What is happening?
- You are finding the true edge
- You are fitting noise, which will likely fail on new data
- Costs are falling
- This is good practice
Show the answer
You are fitting noise, which will likely fail on new data. Each new rule bends the test toward the past. Lesson ›
110. Which result deserves the most trust?
- Before costs, on the data used for tuning
- The best of 100 variants
- After costs, on data never used for tuning
- The smoothest curve
Show the answer
After costs, on data never used for tuning. Real costs and unseen data are the honest test. Lesson ›
111. What is out-of-sample data?
- Data used to tune the rules
- Data kept hidden while building, for a final test
- Tomorrow's prices
- News data
Show the answer
Data kept hidden while building, for a final test. It is the unseen exam paper. Lesson ›
112. What does walk-forward testing do?
- Tunes on one window, tests on the next, then rolls forward
- Tests once on all the data
- Walks through the news
- Removes costs
Show the answer
Tunes on one window, tests on the next, then rolls forward. It repeats build-then-test through time. Lesson ›
113. What does a Monte Carlo reshuffle show?
- The exact future
- Only the best path
- The win rate only
- The range of drawdowns and streaks the same trades could produce
Show the answer
The range of drawdowns and streaks the same trades could produce. Same trades, many possible orders. Lesson ›
114. With a 70/30 split of 10 years, how many years are out-of-sample?
- 7
- 10
- 3
- 1
Show the answer
3. 30% of 10 years is 3. Lesson ›
115. In-sample +0.30R and out-of-sample +0.12R per trade. How much of the edge survived?
- 60%
- 40%
- 18%
- 12%
Show the answer
40%. 0.12 is 40% of 0.30. Lesson ›
116. What does a large drop from in-sample to out-of-sample suggest?
- A better strategy
- Lower costs
- An error in the hidden data
- The rules were fitted to noise
Show the answer
The rules were fitted to noise. What fitted the past did not carry forward. Lesson ›
117. Why size for the worst 5% of Monte Carlo drawdowns?
- The future won't repeat the past's exact order, and bad runs can be deeper than the one you saw
- It is required by law
- The worst case always happens
- It makes trades bigger
Show the answer
The future won't repeat the past's exact order, and bad runs can be deeper than the one you saw. Plan for bad luck you have not seen yet. Lesson ›
118. You peeked at the out-of-sample results and then tweaked the rules. What happened?
- Nothing
- The out-of-sample data effectively became in-sample data
- Your edge grew
- Costs went down
Show the answer
The out-of-sample data effectively became in-sample data. Once you tune to it, it is no longer unseen. Lesson ›
119. Reshuffling the same 60 trades changes which of these?
- The total R
- The win rate
- The drawdowns along the way
- The average win
Show the answer
The drawdowns along the way. The order changes the path, not the totals. Lesson ›
120. Why test out-of-sample only once, at the end?
- Each extra look lets you tune to it, which spoils it as an unseen test
- Tests are expensive
- Data expires
- Walk-forward forbids it
Show the answer
Each extra look lets you tune to it, which spoils it as an unseen test. An exam you have already seen is not a test. Lesson ›
121. Daily uptrend, 1-hour downtrend. What is the hourly move often?
- A pullback inside the bigger trend
- Proof the daily trend is over
- A data error
- A signal to double your size
Show the answer
A pullback inside the bigger trend. Dips happen inside climbs. Lesson ›
122. Which timeframe sets the direction in this lesson's rules?
- The lowest
- Whichever is green
- The higher timeframe
- The one your friend uses
Show the answer
The higher timeframe. The big picture decides the direction. Lesson ›
123. Price sits between two major daily levels and the timeframes disagree. What does the conflict table say?
- Trade double size
- Stand aside
- Trade normal size
- Enter immediately
Show the answer
Stand aside. No clear edge means no trade. Lesson ›
124. What decides which timeframe matters most?
- The colour scheme
- The news
- The weather
- How long you plan to hold the trade
Show the answer
How long you plan to hold the trade. A trade lives on the chart that matches its holding time. Lesson ›
125. Entry 1,236 and stop 1,196. What is the risk?
- 40 points
- 28 points
- 36 points
- 1,196 points
Show the answer
40 points. 1,236 minus 1,196 is 40. Lesson ›
126. Target 1,316, entry 1,236 and a risk of 40 points. How big is the reward in R?
- 1.5R
- 3R
- 2R
- 80R
Show the answer
2R. 80 points of reward on 40 of risk is 2R. Lesson ›
127. What counts as a lower-timeframe 'turn' in this lesson?
- Any green candle
- A higher low plus a break of the last swing high
- A news headline
- A lower low
Show the answer
A higher low plus a break of the last swing high. Structure, not colour, defines the turn. Lesson ›
128. Why write your conflict rule before looking at the chart?
- So you don't pick the timeframe that suits the trade you already want
- Rules must be written in ink
- Charts change after you look
- It saves data
Show the answer
So you don't pick the timeframe that suits the trade you already want. Deciding first keeps bias out. Lesson ›
129. A trade planned for 2 days is losing and the daily chart has turned down. What fits the rules?
- Hold for weeks in case the weekly chart rescues it
- Switch to the monthly chart
- Add to it
- Exit as the plan says rather than stretching the holding period
Show the answer
Exit as the plan says rather than stretching the holding period. Don't turn a short trade into a long hope. Lesson ›
130. Why mark major levels on the higher timeframe beforehand?
- It looks nicer
- So 'major level' is defined in advance and the rule can be tested
- Levels move every minute
- The exchange requires it
Show the answer
So 'major level' is defined in advance and the rule can be tested. A rule needs clear definitions to be tested. Lesson ›
131. What is a strategy in this lesson?
- A lucky guess
- A written recipe for your trades
- A news feed
- One great trade
Show the answer
A written recipe for your trades. It spells out every step. Lesson ›
132. What is a hypothesis?
- A simple, testable idea
- A proven fact
- A fee
- A chart pattern
Show the answer
A simple, testable idea. It is the idea your testing will check. Lesson ›
133. Which rule is clear enough to test?
- Buy when it looks strong
- Enter when it feels right
- Exit when nervous
- Enter at the next open after a close above the prior day's high
Show the answer
Enter at the next open after a close above the prior day's high. Anyone can check it on a chart. Lesson ›
134. Why fit the strategy to your schedule?
- It looks professional
- Exchanges require it
- The best strategy is one you can follow consistently
- Longer charts are always better
Show the answer
The best strategy is one you can follow consistently. A plan you can't follow doesn't work. Lesson ›
135. Entry 205, stop 195 and 300 dollars of risk. How many shares?
- 20
- 30
- 300
- 15
Show the answer
30. 300 divided by a 10-dollar stop distance is 30. Lesson ›
136. Entry 205 and a risk of 10 per share. Where is a 2R target?
- 215
- 210
- 230
- 225
Show the answer
225. Two times 10 above 205 is 225. Lesson ›
137. What comes right after the manual backtest in the pipeline?
- An out-of-sample check with costs
- Full-size live trading
- Adding ten more rules
- Posting results online
Show the answer
An out-of-sample check with costs. Unseen data and real costs come next. Lesson ›
138. Why do fewer rules help?
- They are easier to test and harder to overfit
- They always win more
- Exchanges prefer them
- They need no stops
Show the answer
They are easier to test and harder to overfit. Simple rules generalize better. Lesson ›
139. Your strategy grew out of one amazing past trade. What is the problem?
- It was too profitable
- Nothing
- One trade is not evidence, so the idea needs many tested cases
- Past trades are secret
Show the answer
One trade is not evidence, so the idea needs many tested cases. One example can be pure luck. Lesson ›
140. When should you drop an idea in the pipeline?
- Never
- Only after live losses
- When a friend disagrees
- At any stage where it fails its test
Show the answer
At any stage where it fails its test. Failing early is cheap; failing late is expensive. Lesson ›
141. What is a forward test?
- Re-running the backtest
- Trading the frozen strategy on new data
- Reading the news
- Changing rules every day
Show the answer
Trading the frozen strategy on new data. New data, unchanged rules. Lesson ›
142. What is profit factor?
- Gross profit / gross loss
- Win rate x 2
- Average win - average loss
- The number of trades
Show the answer
Gross profit / gross loss. It compares everything won with everything lost. Lesson ›
143. Gross profit is 18R and gross loss is 12R. What is the profit factor?
- 0.67
- 6
- 30
- 1.5
Show the answer
1.5. 18 divided by 12 is 1.5. Lesson ›
144. What is maximum drawdown?
- The biggest win
- The number of losses
- The biggest drop from a peak
- The average loss
Show the answer
The biggest drop from a peak. It measures the deepest dip along the way. Lesson ›
145. 8 wins in 20 trades. What is the win rate?
- 8%
- 40%
- 20%
- 60%
Show the answer
40%. 8 out of 20 is 40%. Lesson ›
146. A net +6R over 20 trades. What is the expectancy?
- +0.3R
- +6R
- +3R
- +0.06R
Show the answer
+0.3R. 6 divided by 20 is 0.3. Lesson ›
147. When should you set the continue, adjust or stop thresholds?
- After seeing the results
- Never
- Halfway through
- Before the test starts
Show the answer
Before the test starts. Deciding first stops you from moving the goalposts. Lesson ›
148. Forward expectancy is +0.3R and the backtest showed +0.36R, over just 20 trades. What is the best reading?
- The strategy is broken
- Roughly consistent, given the small sample
- Double the size
- The backtest was fake
Show the answer
Roughly consistent, given the small sample. Small samples wobble, and this gap is small. Lesson ›
149. Why change at most one rule per review cycle?
- So you can tell whether that change helped
- Rules cost money
- The app allows only one
- It is faster
Show the answer
So you can tell whether that change helped. One change at a time keeps cause and effect clear. Lesson ›
150. Why don't simulated results guarantee real ones?
- Simulations are always wrong
- Real markets are closed
- Real trading adds real emotions, fills and costs
- Simulations use future data
Show the answer
Real trading adds real emotions, fills and costs. Real money changes how people act, and real fills differ. Lesson ›