Trading Class

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World 11 · 33 lessons

Why traders lose

Short, honest videos on real data about why most traders lose money, and what to do about it. Eight chapters, from stop losses to a 30-day reset. Open from day one.

  1. 1. Why your stop loss gets hitStops get hit for four plain reasons: the obvious level, a stop tighter than normal noise, a size that is too big, and moving it.
  2. 2. The one-line stop ruleStop first, size second: size = the money you accept to lose ÷ the stop distance.
  3. 3. Where your idea is wrongPut the stop where the idea is wrong, plus room for normal noise, not one tick under the obvious low.
  4. 4. The only way a stop may moveA stop only moves toward profit, never further away.
  5. 5. Is big money hunting your stop?Stops are sell orders that pile up under obvious lows; wait for the candle to close before you trust a break.
  6. 6. 91 out of 100In India, Brazil and Taiwan, most individual traders lost money, so losing is the normal result, not a flaw in you.
  7. 7. The costs you never seeEvery trade pays a fee, the spread and slippage, win or lose, and the total grows with every trade you make.
  8. 8. The leverage trapLeverage multiplies every price move against your own money, so one normal day can empty the deposit, and it does not improve your odds.
  9. 9. Who's on the other sideEvery trade has another side, often a firm running fast computer programs, and every extra trade is another chance for it.
  10. 10. Why half isn't halfAfter a loss you need a bigger gain to get back, and the gap grows fast: lose 50% and you need 100%.
  11. 11. The 1% ruleRisk 1% of your account per trade, so even ten losses in a row leave about 90% of it.
  12. 12. Win rate is a trapA win rate means nothing alone: the bigger your wins are compared with your losses, the fewer wins you need.
  13. 13. Your edge in one numberExpectancy tells you what one trade is worth on average, and only a number above zero over many trades is an edge.
  14. 14. Trade more, earn lessEvery trade pays a fee in, a fee out and the price gap, so trading more mostly means paying more: the busiest traders earned the least.
  15. 15. Revenge tradingRevenge trading is going bigger to win a loss back, and doubling after each loss turns three losses into seven normal ones.
  16. 16. Just one more tradeA tiny 0.3% trade on hourly Bitcoin sits inside normal noise, so it is a coin toss, and fees turn a coin toss into a loser.
  17. 17. Why a loss hurts twiceA loss feels about twice as strong as an equal win, and that feeling drives two costly habits: revenge trades and holding losers.
  18. 18. Set your trading hoursA fixed trading window and a daily cap on trades, set in advance, say no for you when willpower would not.
  19. 19. Averaging downAveraging down lowers your average price but grows your position, so the same fall can cost three times the loss you planned.
  20. 20. The mental stopA stop kept only in your head needs you watching, awake and calm; a real stop order acts even when you freeze.
  21. 21. Chasing the big candleAfter a huge green candle the next move is neither a crash nor a sure thing, but a stop under the candle sits almost 3 normal candles away, so the usual size carries almost three times the risk.
  22. 22. Selling winners, holding losersPeople tend to sell winners too soon and hold losers too long, and in 10,000 real accounts the winners they sold beat the losers they kept by about 3.4 points over the next year.
  23. 23. Cheap options near expiryA cheap option near expiry is cheap because almost no time is left, so it needs a big move fast, and on a normal day it ends at zero.
  24. 24. What tilt looks likeTilt is trading while a loss still stings, and it shows in four signs: bigger size, faster trades, a skipped stop, and "I'll win it back today".
  25. 25. The 24-hour ruleAfter a big loss or a broken rule, place no new trades for 24 hours, because the tilt loop cannot run without a next trade.
  26. 26. The daily loss limitPick your daily loss limit before the day starts, and stop trading the moment you reach it, every single time.
  27. 27. The 30-second checklistBefore every trade, answer four questions (where is my stop, is my size the one-line rule, is this trade in my plan, am I calm) and skip the trade if any answer is no.
  28. 28. Keep a trading journalA trading journal has four parts: the plan before you click, an honest reason tag, how you felt in one word, and the result in R.
  29. 29. Find your leakTag every trade, add up each tag's results in R after at least 20 trades, and the tag that loses the most is your leak.
  30. 30. The 10-minute weekly reviewOnce a week, check three numbers (win rate, average win and loss in R, rule breaks), then pick one change for next week.
  31. 31. Practice before moneyAfter a big loss, practice for 30 days with no real money, on real charts, keeping every rule as if the money were real.
  32. 32. Come back smallCome back to real money at the smallest size, keep every rule, score each trade on your rules rather than profit, and grow one small step at a time.
  33. 33. When you're readyFour counted checks, not a feeling, decide when you go back to real money, and passing them is not a promise of profit.