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Crypto · chart pattern
Head and shoulders on Aave
On Aave the head and shoulders showed up 39 times. The target came first 41% of the time, the stop 54%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 10 | 70% | 30% | 0% |
| Hourly | 28 | 32% | 61% | 7% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 39 | 41% | 54% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,375 | 38% | 54% | 8% |
| Every market | 1,905 | 38% | 55% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2022 | 10 | 50% | 40% |
| 2023 | 9 | 44% | 56% |
| 2024 | 5 | 20% | 60% |
| 2025 | 9 | 56% | 44% |
The last 8 times
- 6 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 17 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 9 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 4 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 27 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 9 Sep 2025, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 30 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 9 candles
- 29 May 2025, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the head and shoulders is
Three peaks with the middle one highest, then a break below the neckline.
Picture a person's head and two shoulders from behind: a shoulder, a taller head, then another shoulder. A head and shoulders pattern is three price peaks shaped like that. When price falls below the line under the shoulders, called the neckline, the pattern is complete.
The full head and shoulders lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The head and shoulders elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the head and shoulders work on Aave?
In 39 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 41% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the head and shoulders?
Three peaks with the middle one highest, then a break below the neckline.