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Aave chart patterns

We ran 61 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over Aave (AAVE/USDT) (daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021) and counted 37,086 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.

Best on Aave: ascending triangle (57% of 23), three white soldiers (49% of 43), atr expansion down (47% of 198). Weakest: cup and handle (24% of 21), dragonfly doji (26% of 27), falling wedge (27% of 62). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.

Buy and sell setups, ranked

Pattern	Found	Target first	Stop first	Went nowhere
Ascending triangle	23	57%	43%	0%
Three white soldiers	43	49%	44%	7%
ATR expansion down	198	47%	51%	2%
Resistance rejection	82	45%	51%	4%
Bollinger breakout down	297	45%	50%	5%
Descending triangle	20	45%	45%	10%
Bull flag	67	42%	52%	6%
Head and shoulders	39	41%	54%	5%
Bear flag	42	40%	55%	5%
Bollinger breakout up	317	40%	58%	2%
VWAP rejection	600	40%	52%	7%
Bearish marubozu	249	40%	52%	8%
ATR expansion up	193	39%	59%	2%
Evening star	28	39%	43%	18%
Breakout	64	39%	56%	5%
Bearish harami	272	39%	53%	8%
Golden cross	192	39%	54%	7%
MACD bullish cross	1,526	39%	52%	9%
Hanging man	186	38%	54%	8%
Death cross	189	38%	51%	11%
Double top	134	38%	59%	3%
Stochastic bearish cross	2,824	38%	55%	7%
MACD bearish cross	1,558	38%	54%	8%
Shooting star	261	38%	57%	5%
Three black crows	24	38%	46%	17%
EMA 9/21 bullish cross	1,423	37%	56%	6%
EMA 9/21 bearish cross	1,428	37%	56%	7%
Bullish marubozu	332	37%	57%	7%
Tweezer top	317	37%	57%	7%
OBV bullish divergence	230	37%	55%	9%
Volume profile rejection	1,800	36%	57%	7%
Rising wedge	72	36%	60%	4%
Morning star	25	36%	60%	4%
False breakout	25	36%	56%	8%
Double bottom	162	36%	58%	6%
Volume profile bounce	1,927	36%	58%	7%
Bearish engulfing	527	36%	57%	7%
VWAP reclaim	532	36%	59%	6%
Dark cloud cover	194	35%	58%	7%
OBV bearish divergence	252	35%	56%	10%
RSI overbought drop	915	34%	57%	9%
Stochastic bullish cross	2,765	34%	57%	9%
Tweezer bottom	298	34%	55%	12%
Fibonacci bounce down	401	33%	55%	11%
Inverse head and shoulders	58	33%	62%	5%
Bullish engulfing	533	32%	56%	12%
RSI oversold bounce	846	31%	57%	12%
Hammer	311	31%	57%	12%
Inverted hammer	199	31%	60%	9%
Bullish harami	254	31%	59%	10%
Piercing line	195	30%	57%	13%
Fibonacci bounce up	463	30%	63%	7%
Symmetrical triangle	51	29%	65%	6%
Support bounce	63	29%	56%	16%
Falling wedge	62	27%	61%	11%
Dragonfly doji	27	26%	63%	11%
Cup and handle	21	24%	57%	19%

Neutral patterns

Pattern	Found	Broke up	Broke down	Stayed inside
Doji	1,758	50%	48%	3%
Spinning top	2,323	49%	47%	3%
Inside bar	6,851	49%	49%	2%

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

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Questions

Which pattern worked best on Aave?

In our count the ascending triangle reached its target first most often on Aave: 57% of 23 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.

Which candlestick pattern works best on Aave?

The three white soldiers: target first 49% of 43 times on Aave.

How were these numbers counted?

Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.