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ATR expansion up on GBP/USD

On GBP/USD the atr expansion up showed up 47 times. The target came first 47% of the time, the stop 51%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on GBP/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily30%67%33%
Hourly4450%50%0%

GBP/USD against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
GBP/USD4747%51%2%
All Forex charts42838%60%2%
Every market8,14840%58%2%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2024540%60%
20252552%48%
20261450%50%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the atr expansion up is

After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke above the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.

Think of the quiet before a thunderstorm: the air goes still, then a sudden gust arrives. ATR measures how big candles have been lately, so a very low ATR means the market has gone quiet. An ATR expansion up is when, after that calm, one big green candle bursts above the recent range.

The full atr expansion up lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on GBP/USD

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · RSI oversold bounce · all of them

The atr expansion up elsewhere

EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · EUR/INR · Nikkei 225 · Ethereum · Bitcoin

Questions

How often does the atr expansion up work on GBP/USD?

In 47 cases on GBP/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 47% of the time and the stop came first 51%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the atr expansion up?

After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke above the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.