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Forex · indicator signal

RSI oversold bounce on NZD/USD

On NZD/USD the rsi oversold bounce showed up 189 times. The target came first 32% of the time, the stop 58%, and 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on NZD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily3330%67%3%
Hourly15632%56%12%

NZD/USD against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
NZD/USD18932%58%10%
All Forex charts1,90335%54%11%
Every market32,72634%55%11%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
201730%100%
2018850%50%
20191020%80%
2021425%75%
2022540%60%
20242133%48%
20256632%55%
20267033%60%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the rsi oversold bounce is

RSI fell below 30, then climbed back above it. Selling may be tiring.

Stretch a rubber band far and it wants to snap back. RSI is a gauge from 0 to 100 that shows how hard price has been pushed up or down lately. Below 30 means price was pushed down very hard, and climbing back above 30 hints the selling may be tiring.

The full rsi oversold bounce lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on NZD/USD

Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them

The rsi oversold bounce elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the rsi oversold bounce work on NZD/USD?

In 189 cases on NZD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 32% of the time and the stop came first 58%; 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the rsi oversold bounce?

RSI fell below 30, then climbed back above it. Selling may be tiring.