Forex · forex
NZD/USD chart patterns
We ran 54 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over NZD/USD (daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024) and counted 6,640 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.
Best on NZD/USD: head and shoulders (52% of 23), bollinger breakout down (49% of 57), atr expansion down (45% of 38). Weakest: tweezer top (28% of 58), fibonacci bounce up (30% of 74), tweezer bottom (31% of 61). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.
Buy and sell setups, ranked
| Pattern | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head and shoulders | 23 | 52% | 43% | 4% |
| Bollinger breakout down | 57 | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| ATR expansion down | 38 | 45% | 53% | 3% |
| Hanging man | 41 | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Golden cross | 37 | 43% | 54% | 3% |
| Inverted hammer | 56 | 43% | 54% | 4% |
| ATR expansion up | 28 | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| EMA 9/21 bearish cross | 271 | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Double bottom | 34 | 41% | 53% | 6% |
| Double top | 44 | 41% | 57% | 2% |
| Bearish engulfing | 115 | 41% | 54% | 5% |
| Bullish harami | 87 | 40% | 54% | 6% |
| Dark cloud cover | 30 | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Inverse head and shoulders | 20 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
| Fibonacci bounce down | 93 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
| Death cross | 43 | 40% | 51% | 9% |
| Piercing line | 47 | 38% | 51% | 11% |
| EMA 9/21 bullish cross | 275 | 38% | 57% | 5% |
| MACD bearish cross | 306 | 36% | 58% | 6% |
| Stochastic bearish cross | 597 | 36% | 59% | 5% |
| Hammer | 62 | 35% | 56% | 8% |
| Resistance rejection | 26 | 35% | 62% | 4% |
| Bearish harami | 87 | 34% | 60% | 6% |
| RSI overbought drop | 154 | 34% | 59% | 6% |
| MACD bullish cross | 331 | 34% | 61% | 5% |
| Bollinger breakout up | 50 | 34% | 64% | 2% |
| Stochastic bullish cross | 676 | 34% | 60% | 6% |
| Shooting star | 63 | 33% | 62% | 5% |
| Bullish engulfing | 139 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| Bearish marubozu | 100 | 33% | 59% | 8% |
| Bullish marubozu | 105 | 32% | 59% | 9% |
| RSI oversold bounce | 189 | 32% | 58% | 10% |
| Tweezer bottom | 61 | 31% | 59% | 10% |
| Fibonacci bounce up | 74 | 30% | 66% | 4% |
| Tweezer top | 58 | 28% | 64% | 9% |
Neutral patterns
| Pattern | Found | Broke up | Broke down | Stayed inside |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spinning top | 492 | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Doji | 339 | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Inside bar | 1,242 | 48% | 51% | 1% |
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
Learn to read NZD/USD charts
- Forex: pairs, pips and sessionsA currency pair shows how much of the second currency buys one unit of the first, and a pip is a tiny standard step used to measure its moves.
- What one candle tells youEvery candle shows four prices: where it started, its highest, its lowest and where it finished.
- Bodies and wicks: the tug of warA big body means one side won; a long wick means a push that got pushed back.
- The hammerA hammer after a fall shows sellers pushed hard but buyers pushed the price back up.
- Rule one: stay in the gameLose half your money and you must double what is left just to get back to the start.
- The stop-loss: decide your exit firstA stop-loss is the price where your idea is wrong, and you choose it before you enter.
More Forex charts
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · EUR/INR · USD/INR
Questions
Which pattern worked best on NZD/USD?
In our count the head and shoulders reached its target first most often on NZD/USD: 52% of 23 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.
Which candlestick pattern works best on NZD/USD?
The hanging man: target first 44% of 41 times on NZD/USD.
How were these numbers counted?
Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.