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Crypto · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on Aave
On Aave the atr expansion down showed up 198 times. The target came first 47% of the time, the stop 51%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 10 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 46 | 59% | 41% | 0% |
| Hourly | 142 | 44% | 54% | 3% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 198 | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| All Crypto charts | 6,184 | 44% | 54% | 3% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 38 | 55% | 42% |
| 2022 | 43 | 49% | 49% |
| 2023 | 31 | 35% | 65% |
| 2024 | 25 | 44% | 52% |
| 2025 | 30 | 57% | 43% |
| 2026 | 31 | 42% | 55% |
The last 8 times
- 28 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 1 candle
- 20 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 25 Aug 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 1 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 1 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 25 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 16 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 28 Jun 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Dow Jones · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on Aave?
In 198 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 47% of the time and the stop came first 51%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.