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Crypto · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on Ethereum
On Ethereum the atr expansion down showed up 271 times. The target came first 41% of the time, the stop 56%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Ethereum (ETH/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 11 | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| 4-hour | 51 | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Hourly | 209 | 38% | 59% | 3% |
Ethereum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | 271 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
| All Crypto charts | 6,184 | 44% | 54% | 3% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 42 | 38% | 62% |
| 2022 | 51 | 41% | 57% |
| 2023 | 44 | 27% | 68% |
| 2024 | 53 | 49% | 47% |
| 2025 | 43 | 49% | 47% |
| 2026 | 38 | 37% | 61% |
The last 8 times
- 23 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 20 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 10 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 4 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 16 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 9 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 1 candle
- 23 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Ethereum
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Dow Jones · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on Ethereum?
In 271 cases on Ethereum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 41% of the time and the stop came first 56%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.