Crypto · indicator signal
Death cross on Aave
On Aave the death cross showed up 189 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 51%, and 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 4-hour | 35 | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Hourly | 150 | 37% | 53% | 9% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 189 | 38% | 51% | 11% |
| All Crypto charts | 5,150 | 37% | 53% | 9% |
| Every market | 7,253 | 36% | 55% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 29 | 55% | 38% |
| 2022 | 36 | 39% | 50% |
| 2023 | 32 | 31% | 66% |
| 2024 | 32 | 34% | 44% |
| 2025 | 34 | 41% | 50% |
| 2026 | 26 | 27% | 62% |
The last 8 times
- 8 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 9 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 9 candles
- 11 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 6 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 5 candles
- 1 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the death cross is
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.
Imagine your average test score from the last few weeks dropping below your average for the whole year. It means things have been going worse lately. A death cross is when the average price of the last 50 candles falls below the average of the last 200 candles.
The full death cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The death cross elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the death cross work on Aave?
In 189 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 51%; 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the death cross?
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.