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Crypto · indicator signal
Death cross on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the death cross showed up 198 times. The target came first 27% of the time, the stop 63%, and 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 5 | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 4-hour | 36 | 22% | 67% | 11% |
| Hourly | 157 | 27% | 62% | 10% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 198 | 27% | 63% | 11% |
| All Crypto charts | 5,150 | 37% | 53% | 9% |
| Every market | 7,253 | 36% | 55% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | 25% | 68% |
| 2022 | 40 | 22% | 65% |
| 2023 | 30 | 20% | 63% |
| 2024 | 34 | 35% | 53% |
| 2025 | 43 | 30% | 60% |
| 2026 | 23 | 26% | 70% |
The last 8 times
- 9 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 30 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 14 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
- 11 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 3 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 2 candles
- 25 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 18 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 14 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the death cross is
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.
Imagine your average test score from the last few weeks dropping below your average for the whole year. It means things have been going worse lately. A death cross is when the average price of the last 50 candles falls below the average of the last 200 candles.
The full death cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The death cross elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the death cross work on Bitcoin?
In 198 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 27% of the time and the stop came first 63%; 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the death cross?
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.