Crypto · chart pattern
Rising wedge on Aave
On Aave the rising wedge showed up 72 times. The target came first 36% of the time, the stop 60%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 3 | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 17 | 24% | 76% | 0% |
| Hourly | 52 | 38% | 56% | 6% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 72 | 36% | 60% | 4% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,487 | 41% | 54% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,179 | 39% | 56% | 5% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | 40% | 60% |
| 2022 | 9 | 11% | 78% |
| 2023 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2024 | 16 | 31% | 56% |
| 2025 | 19 | 53% | 47% |
| 2026 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
The last 8 times
- 23 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 6 candles
- 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 9 candles
- 27 Jan 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 27 Jan 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 17 Dec 2025 · daily · target first after 4 candles
- 18 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 4 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 7 candles
- 12 Sep 2025, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the rising wedge is
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.
Imagine running up a path that keeps getting narrower, taking shorter and shorter steps. Sooner or later you slip. A rising wedge is price climbing between two rising lines that squeeze together, and here it slips out of the bottom.
The full rising wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The rising wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the rising wedge work on Aave?
In 72 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 36% of the time and the stop came first 60%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the rising wedge?
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.