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Crypto · chart pattern
Rising wedge on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the rising wedge showed up 59 times. The target came first 32% of the time, the stop 61%, and 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 4-hour | 15 | 47% | 47% | 7% |
| Hourly | 43 | 28% | 67% | 5% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 59 | 32% | 61% | 7% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,487 | 41% | 54% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,179 | 39% | 56% | 5% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 18% | 82% |
| 2022 | 11 | 45% | 55% |
| 2023 | 7 | 0% | 71% |
| 2024 | 10 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 11 | 45% | 36% |
| 2026 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 5 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 6 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 2 candles
- 1 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 14 Dec 2025 · daily · went nowhere
- 5 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 2 candles
- 29 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 28 Jul 2025, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 11 Jul 2025, 21:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the rising wedge is
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.
Imagine running up a path that keeps getting narrower, taking shorter and shorter steps. Sooner or later you slip. A rising wedge is price climbing between two rising lines that squeeze together, and here it slips out of the bottom.
The full rising wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The rising wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the rising wedge work on Bitcoin?
In 59 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 32% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the rising wedge?
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.