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Crypto · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on Arbitrum
On Arbitrum the atr expansion down showed up 137 times. The target came first 49% of the time, the stop 47%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Arbitrum (ARB/USDT): daily candles from March 2023, 4-hour candles from March 2023 and hourly candles from March 2023.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 6 | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 36 | 58% | 31% | 11% |
| Hourly | 95 | 44% | 55% | 1% |
Arbitrum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbitrum | 137 | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| All Crypto charts | 6,184 | 44% | 54% | 3% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 33 | 52% | 48% |
| 2024 | 41 | 61% | 37% |
| 2025 | 32 | 44% | 53% |
| 2026 | 31 | 35% | 55% |
The last 8 times
- 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 1 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 26 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 15 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 14 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 12 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 12 Aug 2026 · daily · stop first after 7 candles
- 6 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Arbitrum
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Volume profile bounce · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Dow Jones · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on Arbitrum?
In 137 cases on Arbitrum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 49% of the time and the stop came first 47%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.