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Crypto · chart pattern
Rising wedge on Arbitrum
On Arbitrum the rising wedge showed up 35 times. The target came first 40% of the time, the stop 60%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Arbitrum (ARB/USDT): daily candles from March 2023, 4-hour candles from March 2023 and hourly candles from March 2023.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Hourly | 34 | 41% | 59% | 0% |
Arbitrum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbitrum | 35 | 40% | 60% | 0% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,487 | 41% | 54% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,179 | 39% | 56% | 5% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 2024 | 7 | 71% | 29% |
| 2025 | 13 | 38% | 62% |
| 2026 | 10 | 40% | 60% |
The last 8 times
- 18 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 10 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 12 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 12 candles
- 5 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 4 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 30 May 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 24 May 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 8 candles
- 10 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the rising wedge is
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.
Imagine running up a path that keeps getting narrower, taking shorter and shorter steps. Sooner or later you slip. A rising wedge is price climbing between two rising lines that squeeze together, and here it slips out of the bottom.
The full rising wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Arbitrum
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Volume profile bounce · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The rising wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the rising wedge work on Arbitrum?
In 35 cases on Arbitrum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 40% of the time and the stop came first 60%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the rising wedge?
Price climbs inside two rising lines that squeeze together, then breaks down.