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Commodities · indicator signal
EMA 9/21 bearish cross on Crude oil
On Crude oil the ema 9/21 bearish cross showed up 106 times. The target came first 30% of the time, the stop 61%, and 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Crude oil futures: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 51 | 37% | 59% | 4% |
| Hourly | 55 | 24% | 64% | 13% |
Crude oil against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil | 106 | 30% | 61% | 8% |
| All Commodities charts | 423 | 33% | 59% | 8% |
| Every market | 52,986 | 37% | 55% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 5 | 20% | 60% |
| 2017 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2018 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2019 | 4 | 0% | 75% |
| 2020 | 3 | 67% | 33% |
| 2021 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2023 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2024 | 33 | 30% | 58% |
| 2025 | 33 | 24% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 14 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 30 Sep 2025 · daily · target first after 8 candles
- 5 Aug 2025 · daily · target first after 6 candles
- 31 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 25 Jul 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 22 Jul 2025 · daily · stop first after 5 candles
- 18 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 18 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the ema 9/21 bearish cross is
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.
Imagine two runners, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner falls behind the steady one, it shows things have slowed down lately. An EMA 9/21 bearish cross is when the quick 9-period average drops below the steadier 21-period average.
The full ema 9/21 bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Crude oil
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · Volume profile rejection · all of them
The ema 9/21 bearish cross elsewhere
Gold · Silver · Copper · Natural gas · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the ema 9/21 bearish cross work on Crude oil?
In 106 cases on Crude oil, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 30% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the ema 9/21 bearish cross?
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.