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Commodities · indicator signal

Volume profile rejection on Crude oil

On Crude oil the volume profile rejection showed up 95 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 55%, and 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on Crude oil futures: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily4831%58%10%
Hourly4738%51%11%

Crude oil against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Crude oil9535%55%11%
All Commodities charts47033%59%7%
Every market63,35937%56%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
201640%100%
2017650%33%
201950%100%
2020367%33%
2022729%43%
2023560%40%
20243333%55%
20252836%57%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the volume profile rejection is

Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.

Imagine walking back up to the busiest stall on a market street, only to find a crowd blocking the way, so you turn back. A volume profile rejection is when price rises back to or near the point of control, the price with the most trading, and gets pushed down again.

The full volume profile rejection lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on Crude oil

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them

The volume profile rejection elsewhere

Gold · Silver · Copper · Natural gas · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Sony · Ethereum · Bitcoin

Questions

How often does the volume profile rejection work on Crude oil?

In 95 cases on Crude oil, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the volume profile rejection?

Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.