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Crypto · chart pattern
Falling wedge on Ethereum Classic
On Ethereum Classic the falling wedge showed up 46 times. The target came first 41% of the time, the stop 54%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Ethereum Classic (ETC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 75% | 25% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 7 | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Hourly | 35 | 37% | 60% | 3% |
Ethereum Classic against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Classic | 46 | 41% | 54% | 4% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,500 | 34% | 58% | 7% |
| Every market | 1,998 | 36% | 58% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 9 | 22% | 78% |
| 2023 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2024 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2025 | 11 | 45% | 45% |
| 2026 | 10 | 50% | 40% |
The last 8 times
- 2 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 12 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 11 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 19 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
- 14 May 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 9 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 12 candles
- 30 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 2 candles
- 15 Mar 2026 · daily · target first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the falling wedge is
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.
Imagine someone walking down a staircase, taking smaller and smaller steps, until they stop and start climbing back up. A falling wedge is price sliding down between two falling lines that squeeze together, with each drop smaller than the last. Here price finally breaks out through the top line.
The full falling wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Ethereum Classic
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The falling wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the falling wedge work on Ethereum Classic?
In 46 cases on Ethereum Classic, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 41% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the falling wedge?
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.