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Forex · indicator signal

RSI overbought drop on EUR/JPY

On EUR/JPY the rsi overbought drop showed up 202 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 52%, and 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on EUR/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily3244%50%6%
Hourly17035%52%12%

EUR/JPY against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
EUR/JPY20237%52%11%
All Forex charts2,11332%58%10%
Every market36,01434%58%8%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
201640%75%
2017450%50%
2020520%80%
2021540%60%
2022743%57%
20233100%0%
20241258%33%
20259734%55%
20266436%50%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the rsi overbought drop is

RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.

Run up a hill as fast as you can and soon you need a breather. RSI is a gauge from 0 to 100 that shows how hard price has been pushed lately. Above 70 means price was pushed up very hard, and dropping back below 70 hints the buyers may be tiring.

The full rsi overbought drop lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on EUR/JPY

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Doji · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI oversold bounce · all of them

The rsi overbought drop elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the rsi overbought drop work on EUR/JPY?

In 202 cases on EUR/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 52%; 11% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the rsi overbought drop?

RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.