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Indian stock market · indicator signal

RSI overbought drop on Nifty 50

On Nifty 50 the rsi overbought drop showed up 95 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 64%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on Nifty 50: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily3926%69%5%
Hourly5634%61%5%

Nifty 50 against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Nifty 509531%64%5%
All Indian stock market charts6,16935%59%6%
Every market36,01434%58%8%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016333%67%
20171020%70%
2018425%75%
2020714%86%
2021933%67%
2024450%25%
20253537%57%
20261926%74%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the rsi overbought drop is

RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.

Run up a hill as fast as you can and soon you need a breather. RSI is a gauge from 0 to 100 that shows how hard price has been pushed lately. Above 70 means price was pushed up very hard, and dropping back below 70 hints the buyers may be tiring.

The full rsi overbought drop lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on Nifty 50

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Doji · Gap down · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them

The rsi overbought drop elsewhere

Sensex · Bank Nifty · Bharti Airtel · Infosys · Mahindra & Mahindra · Coal India · ICICI Bank · Hindalco · State Bank of India · Shriram Finance · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the rsi overbought drop work on Nifty 50?

In 95 cases on Nifty 50, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 64%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the rsi overbought drop?

RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.