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Crypto · chart pattern
Falling wedge on Filecoin
On Filecoin the falling wedge showed up 48 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 56%, and 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Filecoin (FIL/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 7 | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| Hourly | 41 | 27% | 61% | 12% |
Filecoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filecoin | 48 | 31% | 56% | 12% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,500 | 34% | 58% | 7% |
| Every market | 1,998 | 36% | 58% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 33% | 44% |
| 2022 | 8 | 25% | 75% |
| 2023 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
| 2024 | 8 | 38% | 62% |
| 2025 | 9 | 22% | 56% |
| 2026 | 7 | 43% | 29% |
The last 8 times
- 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
- 1 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 10 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 10 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 20 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 14 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 18 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 3 candles
- 24 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the falling wedge is
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.
Imagine someone walking down a staircase, taking smaller and smaller steps, until they stop and start climbing back up. A falling wedge is price sliding down between two falling lines that squeeze together, with each drop smaller than the last. Here price finally breaks out through the top line.
The full falling wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Filecoin
Inside bar · Spinning top · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The falling wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the falling wedge work on Filecoin?
In 48 cases on Filecoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 56%; 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the falling wedge?
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.