Markets › Mastercard › Volume profile rejection
US stock market · indicator signal
Volume profile rejection on Mastercard
On Mastercard the volume profile rejection showed up 118 times. The target came first 36% of the time, the stop 61%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Mastercard: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 52 | 33% | 63% | 4% |
| Hourly | 66 | 39% | 59% | 2% |
Mastercard against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mastercard | 118 | 36% | 61% | 3% |
| All US stock market charts | 3,445 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| Every market | 63,359 | 37% | 56% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 8 | 12% | 75% |
| 2018 | 5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2019 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2020 | 7 | 29% | 57% |
| 2021 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 2024 | 8 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 49 | 43% | 57% |
| 2026 | 26 | 35% | 62% |
The last 8 times
- 21 Sep 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 11 Sep 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 28 Aug 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 17 Aug 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 13 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 6 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 4 Aug 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile rejection is
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.
Imagine walking back up to the busiest stall on a market street, only to find a crowd blocking the way, so you turn back. A volume profile rejection is when price rises back to or near the point of control, the price with the most trading, and gets pushed down again.
The full volume profile rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Mastercard
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · Gap down · Gap up · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The volume profile rejection elsewhere
Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sony · Gold · Silver · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the volume profile rejection work on Mastercard?
In 118 cases on Mastercard, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 36% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile rejection?
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.