Markets › S&P 500 › Volume profile rejection
US stock market · indicator signal
Volume profile rejection on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the volume profile rejection showed up 92 times. The target came first 34% of the time, the stop 65%, and 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 30 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| Hourly | 62 | 29% | 69% | 2% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 92 | 34% | 65% | 1% |
| All US stock market charts | 3,445 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| Every market | 63,359 | 37% | 56% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2023 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2024 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 41 | 24% | 73% |
| 2026 | 27 | 33% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 18 Sep 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 14 Sep 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 14 Sep 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 2 Sep 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 20 Jul 2026 · daily · stop first after 2 candles
- 2 Jul 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 26 Jun 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 25 Jun 2026 · daily · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile rejection is
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.
Imagine walking back up to the busiest stall on a market street, only to find a crowd blocking the way, so you turn back. A volume profile rejection is when price rises back to or near the point of control, the price with the most trading, and gets pushed down again.
The full volume profile rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The volume profile rejection elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sony · Gold · Silver · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the volume profile rejection work on S&P 500?
In 92 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 34% of the time and the stop came first 65%; 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile rejection?
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.