Markets › Nikkei 225 › Fibonacci bounce up
Japanese stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce up on Nikkei 225
On Nikkei 225 the fibonacci bounce up showed up 68 times. The target came first 59% of the time, the stop 38%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Nikkei 225: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 22 | 59% | 32% | 9% |
| Hourly | 46 | 59% | 41% | 0% |
Nikkei 225 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 68 | 59% | 38% | 3% |
| All Japanese stock market charts | 264 | 48% | 48% | 3% |
| Every market | 16,357 | 35% | 58% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 33% | 0% |
| 2019 | 4 | 100% | 0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 27 | 74% | 26% |
| 2026 | 22 | 41% | 59% |
The last 8 times
- 9 Sep 2026, 13:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 9 Sep 2026, 09:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 25 Aug 2026 · daily · stop first after 6 candles
- 4 Aug 2026, 10:00 JST · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 3 Aug 2026, 10:00 JST · hourly · target first after 11 candles
- 27 Jul 2026, 11:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 24 Jul 2026, 15:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
- 24 Jul 2026, 11:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 10 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce up is
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.
Imagine climbing a hill, sliding back about halfway, then catching your footing and climbing again. Fibonacci levels mark how far back price slid compared with the climb. A Fibonacci bounce up is when price slides back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and bounces.
The full fibonacci bounce up lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Nikkei 225
Inside bar · Gap up · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap down · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The fibonacci bounce up elsewhere
Sony · Toyota · SoftBank · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce up work on Nikkei 225?
In 68 cases on Nikkei 225, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 59% of the time and the stop came first 38%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce up?
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.