Markets › S&P 500 › Fibonacci bounce up
US stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce up on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the fibonacci bounce up showed up 41 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 59%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 19 | 32% | 63% | 5% |
| Hourly | 22 | 41% | 55% | 5% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 41 | 37% | 59% | 5% |
| All US stock market charts | 1,467 | 40% | 56% | 3% |
| Every market | 16,357 | 35% | 58% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2021 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2023 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
| 2025 | 10 | 50% | 40% |
| 2026 | 11 | 27% | 73% |
The last 8 times
- 4 Sep 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 17 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 15 May 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 15 May 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 15 May 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 4 May 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 18 Mar 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 5 Mar 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce up is
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.
Imagine climbing a hill, sliding back about halfway, then catching your footing and climbing again. Fibonacci levels mark how far back price slid compared with the climb. A Fibonacci bounce up is when price slides back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and bounces.
The full fibonacci bounce up lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce up elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce up work on S&P 500?
In 41 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce up?
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.