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Nikkei 225 chart patterns
We ran 54 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over Nikkei 225 (daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024) and counted 3,513 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.
Best on Nikkei 225: bearish harami (70% of 20), fibonacci bounce up (59% of 68), bollinger breakout up (53% of 30). Weakest: bearish marubozu (34% of 50), bearish engulfing (34% of 35), gap down (38% of 308). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.
Buy and sell setups, ranked
| Pattern | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish harami | 20 | 70% | 30% | 0% |
| Fibonacci bounce up | 68 | 59% | 38% | 3% |
| Bollinger breakout up | 30 | 53% | 43% | 3% |
| Hammer | 25 | 52% | 48% | 0% |
| Hanging man | 34 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Inverted hammer | 30 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| RSI oversold bounce | 55 | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Stochastic bullish cross | 198 | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| ATR expansion up | 23 | 48% | 52% | 0% |
| Gap up | 387 | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| MACD bullish cross | 106 | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bullish harami | 22 | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| EMA 9/21 bullish cross | 118 | 44% | 53% | 3% |
| RSI overbought drop | 112 | 44% | 54% | 2% |
| Bullish engulfing | 23 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| Tweezer bottom | 21 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| MACD bearish cross | 155 | 43% | 57% | 1% |
| Bollinger breakout down | 24 | 42% | 58% | 0% |
| Stochastic bearish cross | 329 | 42% | 56% | 2% |
| Bullish marubozu | 80 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
| Fibonacci bounce down | 70 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
| EMA 9/21 bearish cross | 118 | 40% | 59% | 1% |
| Gap down | 308 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| Bearish engulfing | 35 | 34% | 63% | 3% |
| Bearish marubozu | 50 | 34% | 66% | 0% |
Neutral patterns
| Pattern | Found | Broke up | Broke down | Stayed inside |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spinning top | 164 | 57% | 43% | 1% |
| Doji | 98 | 54% | 46% | 0% |
| Inside bar | 583 | 54% | 46% | 0% |
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
Learn to read Nikkei 225 charts
- Japan: Tokyo's two sessionsTokyo trades in a morning and an afternoon session with a lunch break, and shares usually come in units of 100.
- What one candle tells youEvery candle shows four prices: where it started, its highest, its lowest and where it finished.
- Bodies and wicks: the tug of warA big body means one side won; a long wick means a push that got pushed back.
- The hammerA hammer after a fall shows sellers pushed hard but buyers pushed the price back up.
- Rule one: stay in the gameLose half your money and you must double what is left just to get back to the start.
- The stop-loss: decide your exit firstA stop-loss is the price where your idea is wrong, and you choose it before you enter.
More Japanese stock market charts
Questions
Which pattern worked best on Nikkei 225?
In our count the bearish harami reached its target first most often on Nikkei 225: 70% of 20 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.
Which candlestick pattern works best on Nikkei 225?
The bearish harami: target first 70% of 20 times on Nikkei 225.
How were these numbers counted?
Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.