Markets › Optimism › Falling wedge
Crypto · chart pattern
Falling wedge on Optimism
On Optimism the falling wedge showed up 43 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 60%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Optimism (OP/USDT): daily candles from June 2022, 4-hour candles from June 2022 and hourly candles from June 2022.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 10 | 60% | 40% | 0% |
| Hourly | 32 | 25% | 69% | 6% |
Optimism against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimism | 43 | 35% | 60% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,500 | 34% | 58% | 7% |
| Every market | 1,998 | 36% | 58% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 14% | 71% |
| 2023 | 10 | 50% | 40% |
| 2024 | 8 | 25% | 75% |
| 2025 | 11 | 45% | 55% |
| 2026 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
The last 8 times
- 20 Sep 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 9 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 20 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 7 candles
- 25 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 11 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 30 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 1 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 9 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the falling wedge is
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.
Imagine someone walking down a staircase, taking smaller and smaller steps, until they stop and start climbing back up. A falling wedge is price sliding down between two falling lines that squeeze together, with each drop smaller than the last. Here price finally breaks out through the top line.
The full falling wedge lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Optimism
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The falling wedge elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the falling wedge work on Optimism?
In 43 cases on Optimism, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 60%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the falling wedge?
Price falls inside two falling lines that squeeze together, then breaks up.