Crypto · chart pattern
Bear flag on Aave
On Aave the bear flag showed up 42 times. The target came first 40% of the time, the stop 55%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 10 | 20% | 80% | 0% |
| Hourly | 32 | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 42 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,310 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,071 | 34% | 60% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 7 | 29% | 57% |
| 2022 | 16 | 44% | 56% |
| 2023 | 8 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2026 | 5 | 60% | 20% |
The last 8 times
- 12 Apr 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 5 Apr 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 14 Mar 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 30 Jan 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 20 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 2 candles
- 30 Nov 2025, 23:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 16 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 17 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bear flag is
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.
Imagine sliding fast down a hill, stopping for a moment to catch your breath, then sliding again. A bear flag is like that: a fast fall called the pole, then a small, calm pause called the flag. When price breaks out of the bottom of the flag, the next slide may be starting.
The full bear flag lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The bear flag elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the bear flag work on Aave?
In 42 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 40% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bear flag?
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.