Markets › Polkadot › Bear flag
Crypto · chart pattern
Bear flag on Polkadot
On Polkadot the bear flag showed up 51 times. The target came first 27% of the time, the stop 67%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Polkadot (DOT/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 2 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 9 | 22% | 78% | 0% |
| Hourly | 40 | 28% | 65% | 8% |
Polkadot against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polkadot | 51 | 27% | 67% | 6% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,310 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,071 | 34% | 60% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 11% | 78% |
| 2022 | 16 | 31% | 69% |
| 2023 | 8 | 25% | 75% |
| 2024 | 8 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2026 | 6 | 0% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 25 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 8 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 28 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 24 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 2 candles
- 8 Mar 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 21 Nov 2025, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 4 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bear flag is
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.
Imagine sliding fast down a hill, stopping for a moment to catch your breath, then sliding again. A bear flag is like that: a fast fall called the pole, then a small, calm pause called the flag. When price breaks out of the bottom of the flag, the next slide may be starting.
The full bear flag lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Polkadot
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The bear flag elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Aave
Questions
How often does the bear flag work on Polkadot?
In 51 cases on Polkadot, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 27% of the time and the stop came first 67%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bear flag?
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.