Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Aave
On Aave the breakout showed up 64 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 56%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 16 | 56% | 38% | 6% |
| Hourly | 48 | 33% | 62% | 4% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 64 | 39% | 56% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 33% | 56% |
| 2022 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| 2023 | 12 | 42% | 58% |
| 2024 | 16 | 19% | 75% |
| 2025 | 11 | 55% | 36% |
| 2026 | 10 | 50% | 50% |
The last 8 times
- 14 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 11 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 14 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 24 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 2 candles
- 11 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 26 May 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 27 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 12 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Aave?
In 64 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 56%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.