Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the breakout showed up 80 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 55%, and 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 20 | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Hourly | 59 | 36% | 56% | 8% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 80 | 38% | 55% | 8% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 36% | 45% |
| 2022 | 17 | 18% | 71% |
| 2023 | 16 | 25% | 69% |
| 2024 | 15 | 53% | 47% |
| 2025 | 16 | 50% | 50% |
| 2026 | 5 | 60% | 20% |
The last 8 times
- 30 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 27 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 14 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 23 Mar 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 27 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 2 Nov 2025, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 2 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 26 Oct 2025, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Bitcoin?
In 80 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.