Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Ethereum
On Ethereum the breakout showed up 74 times. The target came first 51% of the time, the stop 46%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Ethereum (ETH/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 18 | 56% | 44% | 0% |
| Hourly | 55 | 51% | 45% | 4% |
Ethereum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | 74 | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 73% | 18% |
| 2022 | 11 | 45% | 45% |
| 2023 | 15 | 40% | 60% |
| 2024 | 14 | 64% | 36% |
| 2025 | 14 | 43% | 57% |
| 2026 | 9 | 44% | 56% |
The last 8 times
- 11 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 2 candles
- 15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 10 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 29 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 14 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
- 6 May 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 4 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 1 candle
- 22 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Ethereum
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Ethereum?
In 74 cases on Ethereum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 51% of the time and the stop came first 46%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.