Crypto · candlestick pattern
Evening star on Aave
On Aave the evening star showed up 28 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 43%, and 18% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 9 | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Hourly | 18 | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 28 | 39% | 43% | 18% |
| All Crypto charts | 764 | 32% | 57% | 11% |
| Every market | 1,191 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 3 | 33% | 33% |
| 2023 | 6 | 50% | 33% |
| 2025 | 5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2026 | 8 | 0% | 62% |
The last 8 times
- 23 Sep 2026 · daily · stop first after 2 candles
- 6 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 21 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 30 May 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 30 Mar 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 4 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the evening star is
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.
Think of a bright day, then the quiet of sunset, then the dark of night. An evening star is three candles like that: a big green candle, a tiny pause candle, then a strong red candle. The bright part of the chart might be ending.
The full evening star lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The evening star elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the evening star work on Aave?
In 28 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 43%; 18% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the evening star?
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.