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Crypto · candlestick pattern
Evening star on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the evening star showed up 23 times. The target came first 17% of the time, the stop 70%, and 13% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 6 | 0% | 83% | 17% |
| Hourly | 17 | 24% | 65% | 12% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23 | 17% | 70% | 13% |
| All Crypto charts | 764 | 32% | 57% | 11% |
| Every market | 1,191 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11 | 18% | 73% |
| 2025 | 5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2026 | 5 | 20% | 40% |
The last 8 times
- 22 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
- 5 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 3 candles
- 23 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 19 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 5 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 9 Jun 2025, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 19 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 2 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 9 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the evening star is
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.
Think of a bright day, then the quiet of sunset, then the dark of night. An evening star is three candles like that: a big green candle, a tiny pause candle, then a strong red candle. The bright part of the chart might be ending.
The full evening star lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The evening star elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the evening star work on Bitcoin?
In 23 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 17% of the time and the stop came first 70%; 13% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the evening star?
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.