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Crypto · candlestick pattern
Evening star on Polkadot
On Polkadot the evening star showed up 28 times. The target came first 43% of the time, the stop 57%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Polkadot (DOT/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 5 | 60% | 40% | 0% |
| Hourly | 23 | 39% | 61% | 0% |
Polkadot against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polkadot | 28 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| All Crypto charts | 764 | 32% | 57% | 11% |
| Every market | 1,191 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2022 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 2023 | 3 | 67% | 33% |
| 2024 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
| 2025 | 9 | 56% | 44% |
The last 8 times
- 9 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
- 17 Jun 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 6 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 20 Oct 2025, 15:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 28 Jul 2025, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 11 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 8 Jul 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 24 Jun 2025, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the evening star is
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.
Think of a bright day, then the quiet of sunset, then the dark of night. An evening star is three candles like that: a big green candle, a tiny pause candle, then a strong red candle. The bright part of the chart might be ending.
The full evening star lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Polkadot
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The evening star elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Aave
Questions
How often does the evening star work on Polkadot?
In 28 cases on Polkadot, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 43% of the time and the stop came first 57%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the evening star?
A big rise, a pause, then a strong fall. The day is ending.