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Crypto · indicator signal
VWAP rejection on Aave
On Aave the vwap rejection showed up 600 times. The target came first 40% of the time, the stop 52%, and 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Aave (AAVE/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourly | 600 | 40% | 52% | 7% |
Aave against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aave | 600 | 40% | 52% | 7% |
| All Crypto charts | 15,589 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
| Every market | 15,695 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 106 | 36% | 60% |
| 2022 | 122 | 45% | 48% |
| 2023 | 89 | 39% | 51% |
| 2024 | 107 | 42% | 50% |
| 2025 | 99 | 42% | 52% |
| 2026 | 77 | 35% | 53% |
The last 8 times
- 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 2 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 29 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 21 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 14 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 13 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the vwap rejection is
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.
Imagine a team that led all morning, then falls behind. VWAP is the day's average price, where busier candles count more. A VWAP rejection is when price has been above that average for hours, then closes back below it.
The full vwap rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Aave
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The vwap rejection elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the vwap rejection work on Aave?
In 600 cases on Aave, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 40% of the time and the stop came first 52%; 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the vwap rejection?
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.