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Crypto · indicator signal
VWAP rejection on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the vwap rejection showed up 600 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 60%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourly | 600 | 35% | 60% | 5% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 600 | 35% | 60% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 15,589 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
| Every market | 15,695 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 89 | 46% | 51% |
| 2022 | 115 | 33% | 61% |
| 2023 | 97 | 29% | 65% |
| 2024 | 106 | 33% | 64% |
| 2025 | 118 | 36% | 57% |
| 2026 | 75 | 35% | 60% |
The last 8 times
- 19 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 13 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 11 Sep 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 2 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 2 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 31 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 27 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 17 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the vwap rejection is
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.
Imagine a team that led all morning, then falls behind. VWAP is the day's average price, where busier candles count more. A VWAP rejection is when price has been above that average for hours, then closes back below it.
The full vwap rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The vwap rejection elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the vwap rejection work on Bitcoin?
In 600 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 60%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the vwap rejection?
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.