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Crypto · indicator signal
VWAP rejection on Polkadot
On Polkadot the vwap rejection showed up 540 times. The target came first 40% of the time, the stop 55%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Polkadot (DOT/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourly | 540 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
Polkadot against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polkadot | 540 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 15,589 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
| Every market | 15,695 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 75 | 35% | 60% |
| 2022 | 108 | 40% | 56% |
| 2023 | 95 | 40% | 55% |
| 2024 | 96 | 42% | 54% |
| 2025 | 97 | 48% | 46% |
| 2026 | 69 | 33% | 61% |
The last 8 times
- 13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 4 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 30 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 29 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 10 candles
- 24 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 18 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the vwap rejection is
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.
Imagine a team that led all morning, then falls behind. VWAP is the day's average price, where busier candles count more. A VWAP rejection is when price has been above that average for hours, then closes back below it.
The full vwap rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Polkadot
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The vwap rejection elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Aave · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the vwap rejection work on Polkadot?
In 540 cases on Polkadot, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 40% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the vwap rejection?
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.