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Crypto · chart pattern

Bear flag on Arbitrum

On Arbitrum the bear flag showed up 31 times. The target came first 42% of the time, the stop 52%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on Arbitrum (ARB/USDT): daily candles from March 2023, 4-hour candles from March 2023 and hourly candles from March 2023.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
4-hour1040%50%10%
Hourly2143%52%5%

Arbitrum against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Arbitrum3142%52%6%
All Crypto charts1,31033%61%6%
Every market2,07134%60%6%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2023743%57%
2024667%33%
20251136%64%
2026729%43%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the bear flag is

A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.

Imagine sliding fast down a hill, stopping for a moment to catch your breath, then sliding again. A bear flag is like that: a fast fall called the pole, then a small, calm pause called the flag. When price breaks out of the bottom of the flag, the next slide may be starting.

The full bear flag lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on Arbitrum

Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Volume profile bounce · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them

The bear flag elsewhere

Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot

Questions

How often does the bear flag work on Arbitrum?

In 31 cases on Arbitrum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 42% of the time and the stop came first 52%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the bear flag?

A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.