Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Arbitrum
On Arbitrum the breakout showed up 45 times. The target came first 53% of the time, the stop 40%, and 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Arbitrum (ARB/USDT): daily candles from March 2023, 4-hour candles from March 2023 and hourly candles from March 2023.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 8 | 88% | 12% | 0% |
| Hourly | 37 | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Arbitrum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbitrum | 45 | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10 | 60% | 20% |
| 2024 | 15 | 53% | 40% |
| 2025 | 9 | 44% | 56% |
| 2026 | 11 | 55% | 45% |
The last 8 times
- 5 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 27 Sep 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 2 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 20 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 18 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 9 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
- 1 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Arbitrum
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Volume profile bounce · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Arbitrum?
In 45 cases on Arbitrum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 53% of the time and the stop came first 40%; 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.