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Crypto · indicator signal
VWAP rejection on Arbitrum
On Arbitrum the vwap rejection showed up 359 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 55%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Arbitrum (ARB/USDT): daily candles from March 2023, 4-hour candles from March 2023 and hourly candles from March 2023.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourly | 359 | 39% | 55% | 5% |
Arbitrum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbitrum | 359 | 39% | 55% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 15,589 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
| Every market | 15,695 | 37% | 57% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 73 | 40% | 53% |
| 2024 | 103 | 41% | 54% |
| 2025 | 100 | 40% | 59% |
| 2026 | 83 | 36% | 54% |
The last 8 times
- 13 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 30 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 27 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 26 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 16 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the vwap rejection is
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.
Imagine a team that led all morning, then falls behind. VWAP is the day's average price, where busier candles count more. A VWAP rejection is when price has been above that average for hours, then closes back below it.
The full vwap rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Arbitrum
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Volume profile bounce · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The vwap rejection elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the vwap rejection work on Arbitrum?
In 359 cases on Arbitrum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the vwap rejection?
Price spent hours above the day's average price, then closed back below it.