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Forex · indicator signal
EMA 9/21 bearish cross on AUD/USD
On AUD/USD the ema 9/21 bearish cross showed up 272 times. The target came first 42% of the time, the stop 54%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on AUD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 40 | 52% | 45% | 2% |
| Hourly | 232 | 40% | 55% | 5% |
AUD/USD against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | 272 | 42% | 54% | 5% |
| All Forex charts | 3,243 | 36% | 57% | 7% |
| Every market | 52,986 | 37% | 55% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2017 | 3 | 100% | 0% |
| 2018 | 3 | 100% | 0% |
| 2019 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2021 | 4 | 75% | 0% |
| 2022 | 5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2023 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
| 2024 | 24 | 46% | 54% |
| 2025 | 114 | 36% | 60% |
| 2026 | 99 | 43% | 49% |
The last 8 times
- 12 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 7 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 5 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 28 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 27 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 18 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 16 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the ema 9/21 bearish cross is
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.
Imagine two runners, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner falls behind the steady one, it shows things have slowed down lately. An EMA 9/21 bearish cross is when the quick 9-period average drops below the steadier 21-period average.
The full ema 9/21 bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on AUD/USD
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · RSI overbought drop · RSI oversold bounce · all of them
The ema 9/21 bearish cross elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the ema 9/21 bearish cross work on AUD/USD?
In 272 cases on AUD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 42% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the ema 9/21 bearish cross?
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.