Markets › USD/JPY › EMA 9/21 bearish cross
Forex · indicator signal
EMA 9/21 bearish cross on USD/JPY
On USD/JPY the ema 9/21 bearish cross showed up 265 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 57%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 44 | 34% | 59% | 7% |
| Hourly | 221 | 40% | 57% | 3% |
USD/JPY against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 265 | 39% | 57% | 4% |
| All Forex charts | 3,243 | 36% | 57% | 7% |
| Every market | 52,986 | 37% | 55% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 4 | 25% | 50% |
| 2017 | 5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2018 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2019 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2020 | 9 | 56% | 22% |
| 2021 | 8 | 0% | 100% |
| 2022 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2023 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 2024 | 24 | 42% | 50% |
| 2025 | 122 | 40% | 56% |
| 2026 | 77 | 39% | 61% |
The last 8 times
- 25 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 22 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 21 Sep 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 16 Sep 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 11 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 31 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 25 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 21 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the ema 9/21 bearish cross is
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.
Imagine two runners, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner falls behind the steady one, it shows things have slowed down lately. An EMA 9/21 bearish cross is when the quick 9-period average drops below the steadier 21-period average.
The full ema 9/21 bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on USD/JPY
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · RSI overbought drop · RSI oversold bounce · all of them
The ema 9/21 bearish cross elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the ema 9/21 bearish cross work on USD/JPY?
In 265 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 57%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the ema 9/21 bearish cross?
The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.