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Forex · indicator signal

EMA 9/21 bearish cross on EUR/USD

On EUR/USD the ema 9/21 bearish cross showed up 304 times. The target came first 33% of the time, the stop 58%, and 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on EUR/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily5135%57%8%
Hourly25333%58%9%

EUR/USD against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
EUR/USD30433%58%9%
All Forex charts3,24336%57%7%
Every market52,98637%55%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
20161225%67%
201730%67%
2018729%57%
2019743%43%
202050%100%
2021450%50%
2022580%20%
2023367%33%
20243435%62%
202512731%60%
20269734%55%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the ema 9/21 bearish cross is

The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.

Imagine two runners, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner falls behind the steady one, it shows things have slowed down lately. An EMA 9/21 bearish cross is when the quick 9-period average drops below the steadier 21-period average.

The full ema 9/21 bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on EUR/USD

Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · RSI overbought drop · RSI oversold bounce · all of them

The ema 9/21 bearish cross elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the ema 9/21 bearish cross work on EUR/USD?

In 304 cases on EUR/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 33% of the time and the stop came first 58%; 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the ema 9/21 bearish cross?

The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.