Crypto · chart pattern
Bull flag on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the bull flag showed up 63 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 57%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 8 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
| Hourly | 51 | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 63 | 38% | 57% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,303 | 38% | 57% | 5% |
| Every market | 2,458 | 39% | 56% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | 37% | 58% |
| 2022 | 10 | 30% | 60% |
| 2023 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
| 2024 | 8 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 14 | 36% | 57% |
| 2026 | 5 | 60% | 40% |
The last 8 times
- 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 20 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 17 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 14 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 14 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 26 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 5 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 3 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 9 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bull flag is
A fast rise, a short calm pause, then price breaks out of the pause.
Imagine a runner who sprints fast, stops for a short breather, then sprints again. A bull flag is like that: a fast rise called the pole, then a small, calm pause called the flag. When price breaks out of the top of the flag, the next sprint may be starting.
The full bull flag lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The bull flag elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Sony
Questions
How often does the bull flag work on Bitcoin?
In 63 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 57%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bull flag?
A fast rise, a short calm pause, then price breaks out of the pause.