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Crypto · indicator signal
Volume profile bounce on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the volume profile bounce showed up 1,991 times. The target came first 34% of the time, the stop 57%, and 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 44 | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| 4-hour | 368 | 32% | 57% | 11% |
| Hourly | 1,579 | 34% | 58% | 8% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1,991 | 34% | 57% | 9% |
| All Crypto charts | 50,198 | 35% | 58% | 7% |
| Every market | 61,330 | 36% | 58% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 330 | 33% | 61% |
| 2022 | 355 | 33% | 56% |
| 2023 | 347 | 31% | 63% |
| 2024 | 352 | 41% | 49% |
| 2025 | 355 | 28% | 61% |
| 2026 | 252 | 40% | 52% |
The last 8 times
- 25 Sep 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 24 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 23 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 22 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 12 candles
- 22 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 19 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 8 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile bounce is
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.
Imagine a market stall where most shoppers agreed on a fair price all week. When the price drops back to that fair price, shoppers who know it is a good deal rush in, and the price climbs again. The point of control is the price where the most trading happened, and a volume profile bounce is when price falls back to or near it and bounces up.
The full volume profile bounce lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The volume profile bounce elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the volume profile bounce work on Bitcoin?
In 1,991 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 34% of the time and the stop came first 57%; 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile bounce?
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.