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Crypto · indicator signal
MACD bearish cross on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the macd bearish cross showed up 1,544 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 54%, and 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 44 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 303 | 33% | 56% | 11% |
| Hourly | 1,197 | 36% | 54% | 11% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1,544 | 35% | 54% | 10% |
| All Crypto charts | 40,629 | 37% | 54% | 9% |
| Every market | 58,705 | 36% | 56% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 246 | 43% | 49% |
| 2022 | 248 | 31% | 60% |
| 2023 | 266 | 33% | 54% |
| 2024 | 304 | 33% | 57% |
| 2025 | 288 | 35% | 54% |
| 2026 | 192 | 38% | 49% |
The last 8 times
- 23 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 22 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 20 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 3 candles
- 19 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 17 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 14 Sep 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 11 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 9 Sep 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the macd bearish cross is
Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.
Picture a bike racing uphill that starts to slow down. It is still going up, just less fast. A MACD bearish cross above zero is like that: the rise may be losing speed.
The full macd bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The macd bearish cross elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the macd bearish cross work on Bitcoin?
In 1,544 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the macd bearish cross?
Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.