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US stock market · indicator signal

MACD bearish cross on S&P 500

On S&P 500 the macd bearish cross showed up 178 times. The target came first 34% of the time, the stop 66%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily9932%68%0%
Hourly7937%63%0%

S&P 500 against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
S&P 50017834%66%0%
All US stock market charts4,68738%60%3%
Every market58,70536%56%8%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016580%20%
2017933%67%
2018838%62%
2019812%88%
20201136%64%
20211527%73%
2022450%50%
2023922%78%
20242020%80%
20255135%65%
20263842%58%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the macd bearish cross is

Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.

Picture a bike racing uphill that starts to slow down. It is still going up, just less fast. A MACD bearish cross above zero is like that: the rise may be losing speed.

The full macd bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on S&P 500

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them

The macd bearish cross elsewhere

Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the macd bearish cross work on S&P 500?

In 178 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 34% of the time and the stop came first 66%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the macd bearish cross?

Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.