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Crypto · candlestick pattern
Morning star on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the morning star showed up 23 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 57%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 2 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 4 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Hourly | 17 | 35% | 59% | 6% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 23 | 39% | 57% | 4% |
| All Crypto charts | 661 | 34% | 54% | 12% |
| Every market | 986 | 36% | 54% | 10% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 3 | 33% | 33% |
| 2024 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
The last 8 times
- 28 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 19 Jan 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 4 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 10 Sep 2025, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 4 Sep 2025, 17:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 4 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 8 candles
- 25 Feb 2025, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 2 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the morning star is
A big fall, a pause, then a strong rise. The night is ending.
Think of the night, then the quiet grey of dawn, then the sun rising. A morning star is three candles like that: a big red candle, a tiny pause candle, then a strong green candle. The dark part of the chart might be ending.
The full morning star lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The morning star elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the morning star work on Bitcoin?
In 23 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 57%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the morning star?
A big fall, a pause, then a strong rise. The night is ending.