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Crypto · price-structure setup
Resistance rejection on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the resistance rejection showed up 72 times. The target came first 36% of the time, the stop 39%, and 25% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 19 | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Hourly | 53 | 34% | 40% | 26% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 72 | 36% | 39% | 25% |
| All Crypto charts | 2,106 | 36% | 55% | 9% |
| Every market | 2,889 | 36% | 56% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 45% | 55% |
| 2022 | 16 | 50% | 25% |
| 2023 | 16 | 25% | 19% |
| 2024 | 13 | 38% | 54% |
| 2025 | 10 | 30% | 60% |
| 2026 | 6 | 17% | 33% |
The last 8 times
- 24 Sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 24 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 24 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 2 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 1 candle
- 1 Apr 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 21 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 7 candles
- 20 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 28 Nov 2025, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the resistance rejection is
Price rose back to a level that stopped it before, and turned down again.
Throw a ball up in a room and it bounces off the ceiling and falls. Resistance is a price ceiling where rises stopped before, because sellers were waiting there. A resistance rejection is when price climbs back to that ceiling and gets pushed down again.
The full resistance rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The resistance rejection elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the resistance rejection work on Bitcoin?
In 72 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 36% of the time and the stop came first 39%; 25% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the resistance rejection?
Price rose back to a level that stopped it before, and turned down again.